The placement of stop losses is arguably the
most critical component of any trading strategy, as this is the only
direct way of protecting your account balance from major shifts in
market volatility. Many new traders make the
mistake of focusing only on profits, but many experienced traders will
actually contend that the reverse is true. Either way, the only way to
build on your trading account is to shield your trades as much as
possible, and using protective stop losses is the best way of doing
this.
Major difficulties can be encountered, however, when
traders determine where exactly those stop losses should be placed. If
stops are placed to far away, excessive losses could be encountered
(and, by extension, removing some of the benefits associated with using
stop losses in the first place). Conversely, if stops are placed too
close, a disproportionate number of trades will be closed at a loss.
This can be especially disheartening when prices later reverse and
create a scenario where your trades would have been profitable in your
stop loss placement had been better positioned.
Finding a Broad Approach
For all of these reasons, stop loss placement is a delicate practice.
To further complicate things, there is a large variety of very different
ways to determine where trades should be closed in order to prevent
further losses (your stop loss level). Stop losses can be either defined
or methodical, but it is not necessary to use a single method for all
market situations. The most successful traders are the ones that are
able to assess the broader environment and adapt their trading plans
accordingly.
The first element to consider is your initial
position size. Many traders will scale into positions (rather than
placing their entire trade amount at one level). Then, if prices work
against you, it is possible to add to the trade size and improve on the
average price paid for the trade. In these cases, stop losses will
generally be farther out than if traders place the entire position size
at once because the trader is already operating on the assumption prices
might continue to move in an adverse direction.
Furthermore,
short-term traders are usually better off exiting trades on impulsive
moves, whereas long-term traders tend to look for signs that the
underlying trend has reached completion. Most strategies recommend that
traders never risk more than 5% of their account size at any one time,
while others with a more conservative approach will take this number
down to 2-3%. Here, we will look at some of the methods that can be used
to set stop loss levels and protect your trading accounts in the
process.
Hard Stops
Traders determine places for stop
(defining an exit point) before any trades are actually place. This is
helpful because it allows you to determine your parameters before you
are emotionally invested (and potentially irrational) if prices start to
work against you. The most basic approach to placing stops is the “Hard
Stop,” for which the trader set an exact price level, and then exit the
trade is markets reach that region.
The main idea here is that
your trading strategy suggests there is little reason to believe prices
will rise (for short trades) or fall (for long trades) to this area
before your profit target is reached. Then, if it does turn out that
prices hit the stop loss, either a major change is present in the market
or your initial analysis was simply wrong. In both cases, it will be
wise to close your trade at a loss and look for new opportunities.
There are many ways to determine how to place a Hard Stop. One method
is to use the Average True Range (ATR), which calculates the average of
past highs and lows to determine a projected range for your chosen time
period. Assets with high volatility have a wider ATR, while assets with
low volatility will have a smaller ATR. Since it is unlikely prices will
travel outside this projected range, stop losses can be placed above
the projected high (in short positions) or below the projected low (in
long positions).
Trailing Stops
A more active approach
is to use trailing stops. Here, traders will move the stop loss higher
(for long positions) when prices move in a favorable direction. In short
positions, stops would be moved lower once the trade turns profitable.
For this reason, Trailing Stops are also called profit stops but this
approach requires continuous monitoring of your position.
This
approach can be conducted manually or automatically. Most trading
stations will allow traders to automatically trail the stops. So, for
example, if we start with a stop loss that is 50 points away from the
price, we can set a 25 point stop loss interval, which will move the
stop loss higher every time the market moves 25 points in our favor.
(Chart Example 1)
Manual stops require more analysis but can be better tailored to
specific market conditions. In the first charted example, assume we take
a long entry in the at the black line, with a stop loss below the most
recent support (the first red line). As prices move higher, we
continually move the stop loss higher (each successive red line). Prices
reach a top, reverse and hit the profit stop slightly below. In this
example, the trader would need to actively monitor price activity and
move the stop loss higher as the trade works into profitability.
Parabolic SAR
A variation on the trailing stop can be found with the Parabolic SAR
approach. This indicator works well when prices move quickly in the
direction of your trade, and will quickly spot out a trade when prices
reverse. On the negative side, since the Parabolic SAR reacts so quickly
to price trend changes, there will be many instances where you are
stopped out of a postion before the full trend has run its course. The
second charted example shows how a trader could exit a position using
the Parabolic SAR tool.
(Chart Example 2)
In the
example short trade, the Parabolic SAR is above prices, indicating a
bearish bias for the trade. Once this scenario changes, it is time to
exit the position as market conditions are reversing.
Donchian Channels
Other methods to set stop loss levels can be seen with Donchian
Channels and Pivot Points. Donchian Channels will give traders a price
action envelope that can be used to determine bullish or bearish bias in
a currency. The next charted example shows traders in long positions
can set stop losses using this tool. Essentially, upward breaks of the
upper band signal a bullish bias, while downside breaks of the lower
channel signal a bearish bias. In this example, the long trade is
initiated when prices break the upper band, stops will then be placed
below the lower band.
Conclusion
The placing of stop losses is critical for traders looking to maintain
positions until trends have run their course, while at the same time
protecting a trading account against adverse market volatility. There
are many different ways traders can set their stop loss levels but it
must be remembered that no trade should be executed without an exit
point in mind. The wide variety of stop loss approaches might seem
daunting, as it makes it difficult which method to use regularly. But
this should, in fact, be viewed as a positive, as it means there are
many different methods that can be used for different types of trading
environments.
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